Super Bowl 57 will feature a new matchup when the NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles battle the AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday. The Eagles (16-3), who are making their first Super Bowl appearance since winning Super Bowl LII in 2017, have been dominant, outscoring their two playoff opponents 69-14. The Chiefs (16-3), who are making their first appearance since losing Super Bowl LV to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-9 in 2020, won both of their games leading up to the 2023 Super Bowl by one score. Kansas City is eyeing its third NFL championship and first since 2019, while Philadelphia is looking to win its second Super Bowl and fifth NFL title.
When is the Super Bowl? The 2023 Super Bowl start time is 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. The Eagles are 1.5-point favorites and the over/under for total points scored is 51 in the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before locking in any 2023 Super Bowl picks of your own for Eagles vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl 57, make sure you check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s resident Chiefs expert, Larry Hartstein.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. He entered the 2022 NFL season 427-344 all-time on NFL side picks (plus $3,764 for $100 players), including 394-330 against the spread. Hartstein went 68-50 ATS and 8-3 on money-line plays last season for a profit of $1,552.
What’s more, Hartstein also is 26-16 on his last 42 against-the-spread picks involving the Kansas City Chiefs, meaning he’s uniquely qualified to make this pick. Anyone who has consistently followed him has seen massive returns.
Now, Hartstein has zeroed in on Super Bowl 57 from every angle and revealed his expert NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see his Super Bowl 57 picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Chiefs vs. Eagles:
- Chiefs vs. Eagles point spread: Eagles -1.5
- Chiefs vs. Eagles over/under: 51 points
- Chiefs vs. Eagles money line: Eagles -125, Chiefs +105
- KC: Chiefs are 4-0 this season against NFC opponents
- PHI: Eagles are 7-2 against the spread in their past nine playoff games
- Chiefs vs. Eagles picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Eagles can cover
Jalen Hurts and Philadelphia’s offense should be able to produce at a high level. The Eagles averaged more than 28 points per game during the regular season, ranking in the top five in total yards, first downs, rushing yards, and several additional categories. Philadelphia set a new NFL record for rushing touchdowns and became only the third team in the history of the league to eclipse 2,500 rushing yards and 4,000 passing yards in a season. The Eagles have an elite offensive line, and Kansas City is below-average in turnover creation, first down prevention, and red zone efficiency allowed.
In addition, Kansas City allowed more passing touchdowns (33) than any team in the league this season, and Philadelphia is 16-1 with Hurts under center. He ranks in the top five in passer rating, QBR, and interception avoidance and set a new league record with 15 rushing touchdowns from a quarterback. He is a dynamic two-way threat who logged 833 rushing yards, and Hurts has a pair of wide receivers in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, who each ranked in the top 10 in receiving yards. See which team to pick here.
Why the Chiefs can cover
Kansas City has a strong receiving corps, led by tight end Travis Kelce and wide receivers JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Kelce led the team with 110 receptions on 152 targets for 1,338 yards (12.2 average) and 12 touchdowns. He had 19 explosive plays, including a long of 52 yards. He had 10 or more receptions in two regular-season and one postseason game, scoring two touchdowns against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the AFC Divisional Round.
Smith-Schuster, who was removed from the injury report on Friday, had 78 receptions for 933 yards (12.0 average) and three touchdowns this season. He had nine explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 53 yards. Valdes-Scantling helped power the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game win over the Cincinnati Bengals with six receptions for 116 yards (19.3 average) and one touchdown, including a long of 29 yards. He had 42 regular-season receptions for 687 yards (16.4 average) and two touchdowns. He had 13 explosive plays, including a 57-yarder. See which team to pick here.
How to make Super Bowl 57 picks
Now, Hartstein has broken down Chiefs vs. Eagles in Super Bowl 57 from every angle. We can tell you that he’s leaning Under the point total, but his much stronger play is on the spread. He’s found a critical X-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back on Super Bowl Sunday 2023. You can find out what it is and see the rest of Hartstein’s Super Bowl picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Eagles vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl 57? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Eagles vs. Chiefs spread you should jump on Sunday, all from the expert who is 26-16 on against-the-spread picks involving the Chiefs, and find out.
